Like fashion, it never seems to be too early to predict what the future holds, judging from the number of hot trends for 2012 forecasts we’ve fielded in the last two weeks. The latest observations come from Chicago-based research firm Technomic, which expects to see these seven developments making news in the coming year:
1. Consumers Seek a Twist on the Familiar: Shell-shocked consumers are in no mood to take risks, but novel flavors still tingle their taste buds. Look for comfort foods with a twist (gourmet, ethnic, artisan, wood-fired) as well as innovation in familiar formats (sandwiches, wraps, pizza, pasta) rather than breakout items taken from less-familiar global cuisines.
2. Commodities Costs Drive Rustic Fare Made In-House: Commodity costs are rising, but labor costs will hold steady, and guests are demanding fare, simple preparations of fresh ingredients. Result: operators will curtail purchases of value-added items in favor of cheaper cuts, beans, grains and produce that require more back-of-house prep to transform into honest, home-style food.
3. The Next Steps in Local Sourcing: The rising use of seasonal and local items suits the less-is-more culinary trend. To facilitate flexible purchasing, growers, manufacturers, distributors and operators continue to work toward a more transparent, safe and efficient supply chain, streamlining workflow, recording every step and reducing waste.
4. Social Networking Influence Accelerates: Consumers increasingly trust friends and peers more than professional marketers. They’re taking control of social media to share their restaurant experiences and opinions with the public (via review sites such as OpenTable), with their own circles (via Facebook and Foursquare) or both (via Twitter). This will help some restaurants rocket to popularity and leave others quiet.
5. Customers Want More Information: Consumers want transparency—disclosure of everything from calories and allergens on menus to labor and local-sourcing practices. A small but growing number are serious about nutrition, labeling, sustainability and community involvement, and they are using such knowledge to make purchasing decisions.
6. Operators Try to Resist Discounting: The foodservice industry will continue to operate in a take-share environment, but discounting is cutting to the bone. To counter daily deals and other forms of discounting, operators turn to creative, sometimes in-the-moment, methods to reward their best customers, such as a free dessert out of the blue.
7. Brands Expand Through Flexible Formats: Format flexibility is required as restaurants cater to new around-the-clock dayparts, switch gears from fast-casual by day to full-service at night or transform their kitchens into catering commissaries during slow times. This flexibility is also evidenced in streamlined, high-efficiency, smaller-footprint units and brand extensions.